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1993-03-28
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Ken Deen's
THE AGGRESSIVE TRADER(tm)
"Seeking double-digit profits in one to four months"
ALERT
Vol. 2, No. 51 P.O. Box 4791
March 25, 1993 Santa Barbara, CA 93140
10:00am New York Time CompuServe: 72020,2050
(805) 565-2039 Internet: 72020.2050@compuserve.com
Market Stance: Neutral
*** ALERT ITEMS: ***
Marginable Account (editor's personal account): No trades
IRA Account (editor's personal account): No trades
DESI(tm) Account (a computer-simulated hypothetical account): No trades
DESI(tm) Buy/Sell Signals (computer-generated): None
Other Strong Recommendations (these stocks will be tracked and followed up
with a sell alert):
* Decorator Industries (AMEX: DII, $18.88)
EPS:82, RS:97, GR:41->22, PE:11, Textile-Home Furnishing
*** TRADING IDEA ITEMS (There will be no followup on these ideas): ***
Breakouts (The following stock(s) have excellent sales and earnings growth,
and have just broken out from a six-week or longer base.):
* Decorator Industries (AMEX: DII, $18.88)
EPS:82, RS:97, GR:41->22, PE:11, Textile-Home Furnishing
* Premier Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: PRBC, $18.13)
EPS:95, RS:89, GR:55->47, PE:9, Banks-Southeast
Decorator Industries
I am refraining from buying this stock only because I prefer to buy on
earnings reports, and first quarter earnings will be coming out in a few
weeks. However, this looks like such a good buy that I am recommending it
under my "Other Strong Recommendations" category. This is the first time
I have used this new category. Recommendations in this category are Alert
items. I will follow this stock (and any future recommendations in this
category) as if I owned it, and when I consider the stock ripe for selling
(probably a few months down the road), I will publish a sell Alert on it.
The story here is a breakout from an eight-week base, fueled by a bullish
news item, on a stock which is recently growing very rapidly and which
is, I believe, dramatically undervalued.
The news item is a report from the company that first quarter sales
are running 40% ahead of the year-ago quarter, and also that the company
has set a 2-for-1 stock split. This suggests that the company's recent
rapid growth is continuing apace. Here are the impressive numbers from
the last four quarters:
Quarter
Ended Sales($mil) Earnings-per-share
--------- ---------------- -------------------
Mar 31 92 4.8 vs 4.0 +21% 0.20 vs 0.03 +0.17
Jun 30 92 6.4 vs 5.1 +26% 0.45 vs 0.12 +0.33
Sep 30 92 6.0 vs 5.8 +24% 0.51 vs -0.07 +0.58
Dec 31 92 6.4 vs 4.2 +54% 0.52 vs 0.05 +0.47
The EPS rank of 82 is not as high as I usually like to see. This is
because the current growth spurt is a recent phenomenon -- just over a
year old. If strong growth continues even one or two more quarters, this
number will rise.
The RS rank of 97, on the other hand, is very high. The stock has made
an impressive five-fold move from its 52-week low of 3 1/2 set a year ago.
The stock's PE of 11 is far below its recent sales and earning growth rates,
and the industry group (Textile-Home Furnishings) is strong and appears to
be gaining strength. The group ranked 75th (out of 199) for six-month price
performance two months ago. This week, the group has climbed to 22nd place.
Decorator Industries, located in Pembroke Pines, Florida (305-436-8909)
manufactures draperies, bedspreads, and other items for the manufactured
housing and recreational vehicle industries.
All rankings in today's alert (earnings-per-share, relative strength, and
group relative strength) are from Investor's Business Daily.
<Stock chart appears here in printed version.>
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Previous Alert: Vol.2 #50 (March 24, 1993)
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*** To all who download this newsletter ***
*** ANNOUNCEMENT: TRIAL PERIOD TO CONTINUE THROUGH APRIL 30 ***
On May 1, 1993, this newsletter will be available only for a subscription
fee. There will be no further uploads on or after that date.
From now through April 30, 1993, I am offering at-cost subscriptions (very
very inexpensive) by e-mail, fax, and postal mail. These are alternatives to
downloading. E-mail via Internet is free during this trial period.
Monthly Status Reports (available in printed form only) are an essential
adjunct to these timely bulletins. Among other things, they review the stock
holdings and historical performance of each newsletter account. To receive a
free sample Monthly Status Report plus an at-cost subscription form, just
send your paper mail address.
-Ken Deen
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Aggressive Trader is edited and published at irregular intervals, but
at least monthly, by Deen Capital Management, Inc., P.O. Box 4791, Santa
Barbara, California 93140, (805) 565-2039.
Deen Capital Management, Inc., its principals, employees, affiliates,
and/or clients may have positions in securities recommended herein and may
make additional purchases and/or sales in these securities.
Recommendations made in this publication involve a high degree of risk and
may result in losses. Readers should not assume that recommendations will be
profitable or will equal past performance. The information in this
publication is collected from sources believed to be reliable, but neither the
accuracy nor the completeness of this information is guaranteed.
The Aggressive Trader, Deen Earnings Surprise Index, DESI, and DESI-3 are
all trademarks of Deen Capital Management, Inc.
Copyright (c) 1993 Deen Capital Management, Inc.
-END-